“Economics Perspective” – Brian Long

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2019: Slowdown, Recession, or More Slow Growth?

By Brian G. Long, Ph.D, C.P.M. It may sound silly, but when I was four years old, I remember being terrorized by familiar song entitled “Rock-a-Bye Baby,” largely because of the punchline going “...when the bow breaks, the cradle will fall, and down will come baby, cradle and all.” This was a clear case of [...]

By |2019-02-15T17:33:58+00:00December 7th, 2018|"Economics Perspective" - Brian Long|Comments Off on 2019: Slowdown, Recession, or More Slow Growth?

Another Uptick

By Brian G. Long, Ph.D., C.P.M. For well over nine years, our overall pattern of growth has been slow, punctuated by a few ups and downs. For West Michigan, September was strong, but October was even stronger. According to the data collected in the last two weeks of October 2018, NEW ORDERS, our index of [...]

By |2019-02-15T17:33:58+00:00November 4th, 2018|"Economics Perspective" - Brian Long|Comments Off on Another Uptick

More Growth: Pace Improves

By Brian G. Long, Ph.D., C.P.M. Last month, we returned to a pattern of slow growth. For September, the economic pace for West Michigan picked up a little more. According to the data collected in the last two weeks of September, NEW ORDERS, our closely-watched index of business improvement, edged up to +28 from +21. [...]

By |2019-02-15T17:33:59+00:00October 4th, 2018|"Economics Perspective" - Brian Long|Comments Off on More Growth: Pace Improves

Growth Returns to Normal

By Brian G. Long, Ph.D., C.P.M. After a modestly negative report last month, the West Michigan economy has returned to a normal pattern of slow growth. According to the data collected in the last two weeks of August, NEW ORDERS, our index of business improvement, came in at +21, up significantly from last month’s report [...]

By |2019-02-15T17:33:59+00:00September 4th, 2018|"Economics Perspective" - Brian Long|Comments Off on Growth Returns to Normal

Tariffs are Beginning to Hurt

By Brian G. Long, Ph.D., C.P.M. Tariffs have been threated for many months. Now that they are now actually being imposed, the West Michigan economy is beginning to feel the pinch. After 18 months of solid growth, NEW ORDERS, our closely-watched index of business improvement, has turned modestly negative at -3, down VERY sharply from [...]

By |2019-02-15T17:33:59+00:00August 4th, 2018|"Economics Perspective" - Brian Long|Comments Off on Tariffs are Beginning to Hurt

Still on Solid Footing

By Brian G. Long, Ph.D., C.P.M.  So far, so good. According to the data collected in the last two weeks of June, NEW ORDERS, our closely-watched index of business improvement, edged up to +33 from +30. in a similar move, the West Michigan PRODUCTION index rose to +39 from +37. Activity in the purchasing offices, [...]

By |2019-02-15T17:33:59+00:00July 4th, 2018|"Economics Perspective" - Brian Long|Comments Off on Still on Solid Footing

Strong Pace Continues

By Brian G. Long, Ph.D., C.P.M. As we head toward the summer, the slow growth we have seen for most of the recovery has again turned into faster growth. According to the data collected in the last two weeks of May, NEW ORDERS, our index of business improvement, came it at +30, up slightly from [...]

By |2019-02-15T17:33:59+00:00June 4th, 2018|"Economics Perspective" - Brian Long|Comments Off on Strong Pace Continues

Still Strong: Summer Should be Good

By Brian G. Long, Ph.D., C.P.M. The stronger-than-usual performance for the West Michigan economy has continued into the opening of the second quarter of 2018, although the pace slowed to some extent. According to the data collected in the last two weeks of April, NEW ORDERS, our closely-watched index of business improvement, retreated to +28 [...]

By |2019-02-15T17:33:59+00:00May 4th, 2018|"Economics Perspective" - Brian Long, Latest News|Comments Off on Still Strong: Summer Should be Good

The 2018 “Bounce” Continues

By  Brian G. Long, Ph.D, C.P.M. For West Michigan, the first quarter of 2018 has started on a strong footing. According to the data collected in the last two weeks of March, NEW ORDERS, our index of business improvement, came in at +34, slightly better than last month’s +32. The West Michigan PRODUCTION index held [...]

By |2019-02-15T17:33:59+00:00April 5th, 2018|"Economics Perspective" - Brian Long, Latest News|Comments Off on The 2018 “Bounce” Continues